#Lula

Knife-edge in Brasília: Lula and Bolsonaro's heir race toward an October 25 runoff

Polls put Lula at 45-46% and Flávio Bolsonaro at 42-45% in Brazil's first round on Sunday — a statistical tie with neither above the 50% threshold. The two are headed for a runoff on October 25, and prediction markets bizarrely price the Bolsonaro heir as the favourite.

5 October 2026 · 2 min read

Brazilian President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in February 2026 (file photo)

International

Brazil votes today: Lula's lead over Flávio Bolsonaro narrows as runoff looks unavoidable

Brazilians vote on Sunday in the first round of the presidential election, with incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva leading Senator Flávio Bolsonaro — but every major poll points to an October 25 runoff too close to call. A row over the judiciary's role in scrapping the final Globo TV debate has...

4 October 2026 · 2 min read